# Popper V2 rung-3 -- AUTONOMOUS validation, Puducherry (machine-run)

**Date:** 2026-08-05. **Batch:** `r3-b1`. **Holdout state:** Puducherry (NAMAMI `state_id`='27'). Decision floor: complete=True, reconciled=100.0%. Generated by `run_popper_validation` -- read-only, no writes, no git.

**30 of the registered conjectures carry a per-state `frozen_query`** and were run against this state. Skipped:

| ID | Reason |
|---|---|
| r3-b1-03 | no per-state clause (cross-source/whole-corpus comparator, or tail-UT-only) |
| r3-b1-04 | no per-state clause (cross-source/whole-corpus comparator, or tail-UT-only) |
| r3-b1-05 | no per-state clause (cross-source/whole-corpus comparator, or tail-UT-only) |
| r3-b1-06 | no per-state clause (cross-source/whole-corpus comparator, or tail-UT-only) |
| r3-b1-07 | no per-state clause (cross-source/whole-corpus comparator, or tail-UT-only) |
| r3-b1-09 | no per-state clause (cross-source/whole-corpus comparator, or tail-UT-only) |
| r3-b1-18 | no per-state clause (cross-source/whole-corpus comparator, or tail-UT-only) |
| r3-b1-28 | already holdout-killed (registration §7 Validation event 2 -- Assam (2026-08-05)); registration §7 events 1-2 |

---

## Machine verdicts

| Verdict | Count |
|---|---:|
| CONTEXT-ONLY | 1 |
| KILL-CANDIDATE | 10 |
| REQUIRES-RE-DERIVATION | 2 |
| SURVIVES-LEG | 17 |

## Compact value table

| ID | Band | Measured | Distance | Relative | Near-threshold | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---:|---:|:---:|---|
| r3-b1-01 | ceiling: NAMAMI dated-fraction < 1% per state; direction: >=1 order of magnitude below every comparator | {"date_precision_breakdown": {"unknown": 19447}, "dated_fraction_pct": 0.0, "filtered_total_rows": 19447, "rows_excluded_by_amendment": 0} | 1.0 | 1.0 | False | SURVIVES-LEG |
| r3-b1-02 | ceiling 40% (NAMAMI states and clean comparators alike) | {"institution": "French Institute of Pondicherry", "n": 19447, "pct": 100.0} | -60.0 | -1.5 | False | KILL-CANDIDATE |
| r3-b1-08 | ceiling 1% per state (training) | {"populated": 0, "total": 19447, "pct": 0.0} | 1.0 | 1.0 | False | SURVIVES-LEG |
| r3-b1-10 | ceiling 92% | {"top12_cum_pct": 100.0} | -8.0 | -0.08695652173913043 | True | REQUIRES-RE-DERIVATION |
| r3-b1-11 | ceiling 40% | {"institution": null, "n": 19447, "pct": 100.0} | -60.0 | -1.5 | False | KILL-CANDIDATE |
| r3-b1-12 | ceiling 75% | {"top3_cum_pct": 100.0} | -25.0 | -0.3333333333333333 | False | KILL-CANDIDATE |
| r3-b1-13 | ceiling 1500 | {"hhi12": 10000.0} | -8500.0 | -5.666666666666667 | False | KILL-CANDIDATE |
| r3-b1-14 | ceiling 20 | {"top1_top2_ratio": null} | None | None | n/a (undefined measurement) | KILL-CANDIDATE |
| r3-b1-15 | floor 50 | {"distinct_institutes": 1} | -49.0 | -0.98 | False | KILL-CANDIDATE |
| r3-b1-16 | ceiling 103 per 1000 | {"n": 19447, "distinct_inst": 1, "density_per_1000": 0.05142181313313107} | 102.94857818686687 | 0.9995007590957948 | False | SURVIVES-LEG |
| r3-b1-17 | [-3.0, -0.3] | {"npoints": 1, "slope": null, "se": null, "r2": null} | None | None | n/a (undefined measurement) | KILL-CANDIDATE |
| r3-b1-19 | threshold 53,727 (frozen as minted) | {"top_tibetan_institution": null, "top_tibetan_institution_count": 0, "state_total_tibetan_tradition_rows": 0} | 53727.0 | 1.0 | False | SURVIVES-LEG |
| r3-b1-20 | floor 6 | {"distinct_script_groups": 6} | 0.0 | 0.0 | True | REQUIRES-RE-DERIVATION |
| r3-b1-21 | floor 20% | {"sanskrit_n": 19354, "total": 19447, "pct": 99.52177713786187} | 79.52177713786187 | 3.9760888568930937 | False | SURVIVES-LEG |
| r3-b1-23 | ceiling 45% | {"unclassified_n": 93, "total": 19447, "pct": 0.478222862138119} | 44.52177713786188 | 0.9893728252858196 | False | SURVIVES-LEG |
| r3-b1-24 | ceiling 35% | {"n": 0, "total": 19447, "pct": 0.0} | 35.0 | 1.0 | False | SURVIVES-LEG |
| r3-b1-25 | ceiling 15% | {"n": 93, "total": 19447, "pct": 0.478222862138119} | 14.52177713786188 | 0.9681184758574587 | False | SURVIVES-LEG |
| r3-b1-26 | ceiling 2% | {"n": 0, "total": 19447, "pct": 0.0} | 2.0 | 1.0 | False | SURVIVES-LEG |
| r3-b1-27 | ceiling 0.1% | {"n": 0, "total": 19447, "pct": 0.0} | 0.1 | 1.0 | False | SURVIVES-LEG |
| r3-b1-29 | >75% in belt AND <15% outside belt | {"n": 6362, "total": 19447, "pct": 32.71455751529799} | -17.71455751529799 | -1.1809705010198661 | False | KILL-CANDIDATE |
| r3-b1-30 | >20% in belt AND <5% outside belt | {"n": 2607, "total": 19447, "pct": 13.40566668380727} | -8.40566668380727 | -1.681133336761454 | False | KILL-CANDIDATE |
| r3-b1-31 | exactly one exception (Odisha) among the 11 training states | {"sanskritic_n": 16579, "indo_aryan_n": 128, "sanskritic_over_indo_aryan_ratio": 129.5234375} | 128.5234375 | 128.5234375 | False | SURVIVES-LEG |
| r3-b1-32 | floor 35% | {"basis": "language_facet_south_asian", "n": 19354, "total": 19447, "pct": 99.52177713786187} | 64.52177713786187 | 1.8434793467960535 | False | SURVIVES-LEG |
| r3-b1-33 | belt (Bihar/MP/Rajasthan) substantially and cleanly separated above non-belt (Karnataka/Kerala/Maharashtra/Odisha/TN/HP); contradiction (no clean separation) kills at compile | {"non_latin_holdings": 0, "total_holdings": 19447, "holdings_weighted_non_latin_pct": 0.0, "non_latin_distinct": 0, "total_distinct": 1, "distinct_non_latin_pct": 0.0} | None | None | False | CONTEXT-ONLY |
| r3-b1-34 | exact zero (integrity check, not a statistical band) | {"bad_count": 0, "total": 19447, "bad_share_pct": 0.0} | 0 | None | n/a (exact-zero band; relative margin undefined, see distance) | SURVIVES-LEG |
| r3-b1-35 | exact zero (integrity check) | {"bad_count": 0, "filtered_total": 19447, "bad_share_pct": 0.0, "rows_excluded_by_amendment": 0} | 0 | None | n/a (exact-zero band; relative margin undefined, see distance) | SURVIVES-LEG |
| r3-b1-36 | [0.15%, 1.2%] | {"n": 19447, "distinct_subj": 77, "density_pct": 0.39594796112510927} | 0.24594796112510928 | 1.6396530741673951 | False | SURVIVES-LEG |
| r3-b1-37 | [30, 160] | {"distinct_language_count": 22} | -8.0 | -0.26666666666666666 | False | KILL-CANDIDATE |
| r3-b1-38 | >10% in {UP, Bihar} AND <2% elsewhere | {"islamic_n": 0, "total": 19447, "pct": 0.0} | 2.0 | 1.0 | False | SURVIVES-LEG |
| r3-b1-40 | ceiling 0.5% | {"populated": 0, "total": 19447, "pct": 0.0} | 0.5 | 1.0 | False | SURVIVES-LEG |

## Equivalence check (batched temp-table form vs. verbatim-standalone form)

**All identical: True** (5 entries checked: r3-b1-01, r3-b1-15, r3-b1-19, r3-b1-31, r3-b1-33).

No git commit made. This file and its `.json` twin are machine-generated values-only output; the corresponding `_draft_entry.md` carries the machine verdicts in registration §7 entry format, pending orchestrator countersign.
