# r3-b1-31

**Claim (as registered):** A routed 'sanskritic' language grouping (pure Sanskrit/Prakrit/Pali-family tokens) outnumbers a routed 'indo_aryan' grouping (vernacular Hindi/Bengali/Gujarati/etc. tokens) in every complete state except one, where the vernacular tradition dominates instead.

**Proposed mechanism:** The one training-side exception is attributed to a documented regional vernacular-manuscript tradition (in an eastern state with a strong vernacular-language literary culture). The claim explicitly flagged, in advance, one specific holdout state as a plausible SECOND exception, on the grounds that it has its own well-documented strong vernacular/community manuscript tradition -- a mechanism structurally similar to the training-side exception.

**Scope:** Source: NAMAMI (India), a state-facetted manuscript-holdings portal (holdings, not origin -- every record is held-by, not produced-by, the state). Training: 11 states with a complete portal walk (~4.22M records: Bihar, Himachal Pradesh, Karnataka, Kerala, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Odisha, Rajasthan, Tamil Nadu, Uttar Pradesh, West Bengal). Holdout: 9 more states/union territories walked to completion after this claim was fixed (Jammu & Kashmir, Assam, Haryana, Delhi, Manipur, Puducherry, Punjab, Uttarakhand, Jharkhand), each landed as a complete, reconciled count before testing. All data comes from one portal, so survival across states shows stability within this portal's own cataloguing practice, not independently of it.

**Training-side evidence:** Sanskritic-to-vernacular ratios range from 0.45 (the sole training exception, vernacular-dominant) up through several states in the 1.1-5.5 range to over 5,000 (essentially all-sanskritic) in the least-vernacular state. The closest non-exception state to flipping sits at a ratio of 1.24.

**Holdout test and outcome:** Two further vernacular-dominant states emerged in the holdout: one at a ratio of 0.71 (a large eastern-frontier state whose vernacular language patterns with the training-side exception's own vernacular), and one at a sharply vernacular-dominant ratio of 0.05. A third holdout state patterned sanskritic as expected. The specific state flagged in advance as the most likely second exception was not tested at all (it was withdrawn from the batch before the holdout ran). The claim's own registered kill condition names a fixed set of three specific holdout states and requires two of them to flip before it is refuted; with one of those three unavailable, only two remained testable, and not both of those two flipped, so the claim survives on its literal wording. Its substantive content -- that the training-side exception is unique -- is nonetheless now contradicted by two further states outside that named set.

**Status:** Survived on its literal wording; its substantive uniqueness claim is contradicted by two further holdout states.
