# r3-b1-21

**Claim (as registered):** A routed South Asian religious/textual-tradition umbrella (covering Sanskrit/Prakrit/Pali-family material -- not the Sanskrit language alone) accounts for more than 20% of records in every complete state.

**Proposed mechanism:** The floor is set just below the lowest training observation specifically because that training state has an unusually large non-South-Asian (Tibetan-tradition) institutional presence; the claim predicts this umbrella tradition remains a substantial presence everywhere even where it is not dominant.

**Scope:** Source: NAMAMI (India), a state-facetted manuscript-holdings portal (holdings, not origin -- every record is held-by, not produced-by, the state). Training: 11 states with a complete portal walk (~4.22M records: Bihar, Himachal Pradesh, Karnataka, Kerala, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Odisha, Rajasthan, Tamil Nadu, Uttar Pradesh, West Bengal). Holdout: 9 more states/union territories walked to completion after this claim was fixed (Jammu & Kashmir, Assam, Haryana, Delhi, Manipur, Puducherry, Punjab, Uttarakhand, Jharkhand), each landed as a complete, reconciled count before testing. All data comes from one portal, so survival across states shows stability within this portal's own cataloguing practice, not independently of it.

**Training-side evidence:** Shares range from 22.42% (the low outlier, the Tibetan-presence state) up to 99.26%. A second state sits at 41.10% for an unrelated reason (a high share of records that resisted any tradition classification at all, not another tradition being dominant).

**Holdout test and outcome:** Tested across all nine India holdout states/UTs; every state's share stayed above the 20% floor.

**Status:** Survived every tested holdout state.
