Greek grammar forces a choice on even the most self-effacing scribe: the anonymous colophon-verse 'pray for the one who wrote this, a sinner' must inflect that sinner as masculine or feminine. The conjecture joins this banal fact of morphology to the anonymity…
One Thousand and One Conjectures
One thousand and one — an impossible number anyway: in the Nights it means more than can be counted. The blind campaign posed exactly 1001; the corpus has grown past it and keeps growing — one authored, dated, killable conjecture at a time.
1,003 posed — and counting · measured against the literature (1001 authoritative verdicts): 95 already answered · 844 anticipated — never tested · 50 no prior located · 12 resolved (6 supported / 3 killed)
Falsifiable conjectures about the pre-print world. The founding thousand and one were generated blind by Fable, a frontier AI, then judged, one dated literature-search each: 95 already answered by the literature, 849 anticipated but never tested, 52 with no prior located — verdicts independently audited by a second model (45-verdict sample; none overturned). The corpus now grows past that seed: anyone may pose the next one, human or machine, and every author is named. Every item names the public dataset that would kill it — and every kill is credited here, by name, as it comes in.
Essays What I think I don’t know · How to photograph a noetome · The 84% · The noetome, measured → · The Most-Wanted 52 →
Why these conjectures matter: charting the noetome — its structure, limits & potential →
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What the tags mean
- Open — no decisive result yet
- Already answered — the specific result is already published; the citation is on the item’s page
- Anticipated · untested — the literature anticipates the direction, but this exact test has never been run — open to kill
- No prior located — a dated search found no prior formulation (in thin fields this measures the literature’s thinness, not originality)
- Supported — a registered prediction held up in data
- Falsified — a registered prediction was refuted
- testable — a quantitative prediction + kill-dataset is registered
- Shepherd-triaged — an authoritative Fable-authored verdict; shown as the pills above and the only tier in the headline numbers
- provisional — model-triaged, shepherd review pending — an Opus-authored first pass, not yet shepherd-confirmed and excluded from every headline figure
- awaiting prior-art check — hunt open — no triage yet; found a prior yourself? open it and weigh in
Showing 1–7 of 7 matching conjectures.
Byzantine dedication epigrams name the man who paid for a manuscript with his rank and office; the conjecture is that when the patron is a woman, the verse overwhelmingly anchors her instead to a named male relative — wife of X, daughter…
Two well-known facts about Byzantine books: convents earned their keep partly by copying, and liturgical books — the steady replication work every religious community consumed — are the genre least likely to carry a signed colophon, since an institution's own service books…
Byzantine piety offered a marketplace of heavenly intercessors, and manuscript patronage was a way of buying their favor; the conjecture is that women's book money followed female advocates. Concretely: in the Byzantine book epigrams, female patrons should cluster on manuscripts of female…
Byzantine dedication epigrams constantly ask prayers 'for the soul of' a named person, and women died in the same numbers as men; the conjecture is that female names nonetheless make up far less than half of the commemorated — the manuscript was…
The standard picture holds that a few exceptional empresses commissioned books in an otherwise male field; the conjecture sharpens this into a gradient with a shape. Across rank tiers in the Byzantine book epigrams, the gender gap in patronage should be smallest…
Byzantine scribes signed off with a fixed repertoire of humility — 'sinner', 'unworthy', 'forgive my errors' — and the conjecture is that named women scribes used exactly the same repertoire at the same frequencies as men: the colophon voice was a uniform,…