AI-generated conjecture · below the evidence/publication boundary
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Loanwords are school badges
Status is derived only from the shepherd-authored triage/prediction data above -- community submissions and claims are a separate overlay and can never change it (see the participation panel below).
Claim (verbatim)
Loanwords are school badges: where the Greek-Arabic translation movement left doublets — a transliterated loan and a native-root calque for the same Greek term — later usage did not converge on a winner. The loan survived as a genre badge of falsafa while the calque won in kalam, because school identity was performed at the lexeme: vocabulary choice signalled which classroom a text belonged to long after the doctrines had interpenetrated. The prediction is doctrinal convergence with lexical apartheid — the opposite of what a diffusion model of technical vocabulary expects.
Prediction clause (verbatim)
Select at least ten term pairs from the Glossarium Graeco-Arabicum where both a transliteration and a calque are attested (hayula/madda, ustuqus/unsur, qatighuriyas/maqulat, and kin). Primary clause: in post-1200 OpenITI texts, the loan's share of pair occurrences is higher in falsafa-genre texts than in kalam-genre texts for at least eight of the ten pairs; the verdict follows this clause. Secondary clause: the median falsafa-to-kalam loan-share ratio across pairs is at least 3.
Kill-dataset (verbatim)
Kill: the Glossarium Graeco-Arabicum online database (Bochum/BBAW) for the doublets, crossed with genre-tagged frequency counts over the OpenITI corpus.
Nobody has run this test. The kill-data is named above. If you can run it — or you know the paper that already settles it — claim the kill or submit the prior scholarship. Kills and prior scholarship are credited here, by name, as they come in.
On Inferpedia
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Provenance
Run: Fresh agent generation · model: claude-fable-5
Generated by a fresh Fable-tier instance (claude-fable-5) at maximum effort with generation-first blindness (no repo reads, no web searches, no DB queries; single packet Write was the only tool use); 188-title list supplied at launch, titles only, no verdicts/dossiers seen; prompt pre-committed in docs/generated/conjectures_1001_wave_ledger.md and docs/generated/conjecture_fresh_fable_w02_prompt_20260708.txt. Wave W02 of docs/GOAL_CONJECTURES_1001_CAMPAIGN_20260708.md. Novelty unverified by construction. DEVIATION DISCLOSURE: after an output-limit resume, one accidental no-op placeholder Write to the session scratchpad preceded this packet Write; nothing was read and no information entered the generation; blindness intact, but the run used two Writes, not one.
Novelty / leakage triage
anticipated in the literature — this exact test has never been run
The Graeco-Arabic literature documents the loan/calque doublets themselves (hayula alongside madda, falsafa as a marked loan) and the distinct lexical cultures of falsafa versus kalam, anticipating the badge mechanism. The corpus-scale genre-share test over post-1200 OpenITI texts for ten term pairs is un-run.
Predictions
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