AI-generated conjecture · below the evidence/publication boundary
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Aristotle by slogan
Status is derived only from the shepherd-authored triage/prediction data above -- community submissions and claims are a separate overlay and can never change it (see the participation panel below).
Claim (verbatim)
Aristotle by slogan: after about 1300 the working Aristotle of the arts faculties was a florilegium of exam-ready tags, not the translations. Oral disputation and examination rewarded fixed memorizable slogans, and once the popular auctoritates handbooks compiled them, the tag-list became the effective text — so quotations in later arts-faculty writing should increasingly match the handbooks' standardized wording even at loci where that wording diverges from every Latin translation. The divergent tags are tracer dye: they reveal whether a writer read the Philosopher or the crib.
Prediction clause (verbatim)
Identify loci where the standard Auctoritates Aristotelis wording measurably diverges from all Aristoteles Latinus translation versions. Primary clause: in arts-faculty texts composed after 1300, at least 40 percent of Aristotle quotations at those loci follow the florilegium's deviant wording, versus under 10 percent in texts composed before 1250; the verdict follows this clause. Secondary clause: theology-faculty texts of the same period show a lower deviant-match rate than arts texts, tying the shortcut to the examination system rather than to the century.
Kill-dataset (verbatim)
Kill: the critical edition Les Auctoritates Aristotelis (Philosophes Medievaux 17) collated against the Aristoteles Latinus editions, with digitized arts-faculty disputation texts from open repositories as the test corpus.
On Inferpedia
This conjecture has been linked to the following subject pages on Inferpedia — an encyclopedia of the missing, now in limited preview.
Provenance
Run: Fresh agent generation · model: claude-fable-5
Generated by a fresh Fable-tier instance (claude-fable-5) at maximum effort with generation-first blindness (no repo reads, no web searches, no DB queries; single packet Write was the only tool use); 188-title list supplied at launch, titles only, no verdicts/dossiers seen; prompt pre-committed in docs/generated/conjectures_1001_wave_ledger.md and docs/generated/conjecture_fresh_fable_w02_prompt_20260708.txt. Wave W02 of docs/GOAL_CONJECTURES_1001_CAMPAIGN_20260708.md. Novelty unverified by construction. DEVIATION DISCLOSURE: after an output-limit resume, one accidental no-op placeholder Write to the session scratchpad preceded this packet Write; nothing was read and no information entered the generation; blindness intact, but the run used two Writes, not one.
Novelty / leakage triage
already answered in the literature
This is Hamesse's published result: her edition of the Auctoritates Aristotelis and the forty-years-after collective volume establish that authors from the thirteenth to the seventeenth century quoted Aristotle in the florilegium's wording rather than from the translations — identifying florilegium-derived quotations precisely where its wording diverges from the Aristoteles Latinus is her documented method. The conjecture's percentage thresholds re-run an already-made connection.
Predictions
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