AI-generated conjecture · below the evidence/publication boundary
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Sugi votes Khitan
Status is derived only from the shepherd-authored triage/prediction data above -- community submissions and claims are a separate overlay and can never change it (see the participation panel below).
Claim (verbatim)
Sugi votes Khitan. The celebrated accuracy of the second Tripitaka Koreana conceals a geopolitics of textual lineage. Sugi's collation bureau worked from three witnesses — the Song Kai-bao line, the Khitan (Liao) canon, and the first Koryo carving — and recorded its adjudications in the Kyojong pyollok. Read those notes as a voting record rather than as anecdotes and the conjecture is that the Koreana's famed correctness is substantially a systematic, lopsided preference for the Khitan textual line, whose northern manuscript tradition was independent of the hasty Kai-bao editing — accuracy purchased by picking a better parent, not by neutral case-by-case judgment.
Prediction clause (verbatim)
Enumerate every entry in the Koryoguk sinjo taejang kyojong pyollok (K 1402) where Sugi states a disagreement between the Khitan canon and the Kai-bao or first-Koryo line and records a decision. Primary clause (verdict follows it): in at least 65 percent of such entries the adopted reading is the Khitan one. Secondary: the entries that reject a Khitan reading disproportionately concern omissions of whole passages rather than graph-level substitutions.
Kill-dataset (verbatim)
Kill: CBETA, which carries Sugi's Kyojong pyollok as K 1402 in the Koryo supplement, fully searchable; the adjudication entries are self-contained and countable. Resolvable against CBETA without new ingestion.
On Inferpedia
This conjecture has been linked to the following subject pages on Inferpedia — an encyclopedia of the missing, now in limited preview.
Provenance
Run: Fresh agent generation · model: claude-fable-5
Generated by a fresh Fable-tier instance (claude-fable-5) at maximum effort with generation-first blindness (no repo reads, no web searches, no DB queries); 248-title list supplied at launch, titles only, no verdicts/dossiers seen; prompt pre-committed in docs/generated/conjectures_1001_wave_ledger.md and docs/generated/conjecture_fresh_fable_w04_prompt_20260708.txt. Wave W04 of docs/GOAL_CONJECTURES_1001_CAMPAIGN_20260708.md. Novelty unverified by construction. An output-token limit interrupted the first response turn before any tool call was made; the packet was still produced in a single Write with no information ingress.
Novelty / leakage triage
already answered in the literature
Buswell's study of Sugi's collation notes makes exactly this connection: the Kyojong pyollok documents the canon's textual genealogy and shows the second Koryo canon's readings followed the Khitan Liao line most closely, distinguishing it from its Kaibao/first-Koryo formatting models. Only the 65% vote-tally threshold remains uncomputed; the substantive claim is published.
Predictions
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