Ars Inquirendi

AI-generated conjecture · below the evidence/publication boundary

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Wear maps worship

Status: Anticipated · untested

Status is derived only from the shepherd-authored triage/prediction data above -- community submissions and claims are a separate overlay and can never change it (see the participation panel below).

This is a proposed connection between two domains, generated by a language model. It is not an article and not evidence: it sits below the evidence/publication boundary. A quantitative prediction and a named kill-dataset are attached (when registered) so the claim stays falsifiable rather than merely evocative.

Claim (verbatim)

Wear maps worship. The Tripitaka Koreana's 80,000-plus blocks at Haeinsa include later recut replacements among the 13th-century originals, and blocks die two ways: randomly (wood defects, accidents — uniform across the canon) or by use (inking, printing, handling — concentrated where prints were demanded). If replacement blocks cluster tightly on the short devotional workhorses rather than spreading canon-wide, then the maintenance record is a centuries-long log of which scriptures Korean patrons actually paid to print — devotional demand data hiding in carpentry, orthogonal to the canon's official structure.

Prediction clause (verbatim)

Using block-survey data distinguishing original from replacement blocks, compute the distribution of replacements across titles, normalizing by each title's block count. Primary clause (verdict follows it): the titles holding the top 5 percent of replacement rates account for at least 50 percent of all replacement blocks, and that set is dominated by short devotional sutras rather than the bulky Prajnaparamita and Abhidharma runs. Secondary: per-title replacement rate correlates positively with the count of separately attested Choson-era single-sutra editions of the same titles.

Kill-dataset (verbatim)

Kill: the published Haeinsa Tripitaka Koreana block surveys — the Cultural Heritage Administration's block-by-block census and the Tripitaka Koreana Knowledge Base with K-numbers per title.

Nobody has run this test. The kill-data is named above. If you can run it — or you know the paper that already settles it — claim the kill or submit the prior scholarship. Kills and prior scholarship are credited here, by name, as they come in.

On Inferpedia

This conjecture has been linked to the following subject pages on Inferpedia — an encyclopedia of the missing, now in limited preview.

Provenance

Run: Fresh agent generation · model: claude-fable-5

Generated by a fresh Fable-tier instance (claude-fable-5) at maximum effort with generation-first blindness (no repo reads, no web searches, no DB queries); 248-title list supplied at launch, titles only, no verdicts/dossiers seen; prompt pre-committed in docs/generated/conjectures_1001_wave_ledger.md and docs/generated/conjecture_fresh_fable_w04_prompt_20260708.txt. Wave W04 of docs/GOAL_CONJECTURES_1001_CAMPAIGN_20260708.md. Novelty unverified by construction. An output-token limit interrupted the first response turn before any tool call was made; the packet was still produced in a single Write with no information ingress.

Novelty / leakage triage

anticipated in the literature — this exact test has never been run

Block-by-block surveys of the Haeinsa depository exist (UNESCO documentation; Korean conservation studies distinguish original from later supplementary/recarved blocks, with carving dates spanning 1098-1958), so the data layer is anticipated; reading the replacement distribution as a demand log concentrated on devotional titles is un-run in located literature.

Predictions

No prediction registered yet.

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