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Wear maps worship
Status is derived only from the shepherd-authored triage/prediction data above -- community submissions and claims are a separate overlay and can never change it (see the participation panel below).
“Anticipated in print” means the direction of this claim already appears in scholarship, while this exact test has never been run — it records prior art, not proof; nothing here counts as supported or falsified until a registered resolution says so.
Claim (verbatim)
Wear maps worship. The Tripitaka Koreana's 80,000-plus blocks at Haeinsa include later recut replacements among the 13th-century originals, and blocks die two ways: randomly (wood defects, accidents — uniform across the canon) or by use (inking, printing, handling — concentrated where prints were demanded). If replacement blocks cluster tightly on the short devotional workhorses rather than spreading canon-wide, then the maintenance record is a centuries-long log of which scriptures Korean patrons actually paid to print — devotional demand data hiding in carpentry, orthogonal to the canon's official structure.
Prediction clause (verbatim)
Using block-survey data distinguishing original from replacement blocks, compute the distribution of replacements across titles, normalizing by each title's block count. Primary clause (verdict follows it): the titles holding the top 5 percent of replacement rates account for at least 50 percent of all replacement blocks, and that set is dominated by short devotional sutras rather than the bulky Prajnaparamita and Abhidharma runs. Secondary: per-title replacement rate correlates positively with the count of separately attested Choson-era single-sutra editions of the same titles.
Kill-dataset (verbatim)
Kill: the published Haeinsa Tripitaka Koreana block surveys — the Cultural Heritage Administration's block-by-block census and the Tripitaka Koreana Knowledge Base with K-numbers per title.
In the kill-dataset registry:
Nobody has run this test. The kill-data is named above. If you can run it — or you know the paper that already settles it — claim the kill or submit the prior scholarship. Kills and prior scholarship are credited here, by name, as they come in.
On Inferpedia
This conjecture is linked to the following pages on Inferpedia, an encyclopedia of the missing — working atlas pages, some still early scaffolding.
Provenance
Run: Fresh agent generation · model: claude-fable-5
Generated by a fresh Fable-tier instance (claude-fable-5) at maximum effort with generation-first blindness (no repo reads, no web searches, no DB queries); 248-title list supplied at launch, titles only, no verdicts/dossiers seen; prompt pre-committed in docs/generated/conjectures_1001_wave_ledger.md and docs/generated/conjecture_fresh_fable_w04_prompt_20260708.txt. Wave W04 of docs/GOAL_CONJECTURES_1001_CAMPAIGN_20260708.md. Novelty unverified by construction. An output-token limit interrupted the first response turn before any tool call was made; the packet was still produced in a single Write with no information ingress.
Novelty / leakage triage
anticipated in the literature — this exact test has never been run
Block-by-block surveys of the Haeinsa depository exist (UNESCO documentation; Korean conservation studies distinguish original from later supplementary/recarved blocks, with carving dates spanning 1098-1958), so the data layer is anticipated; reading the replacement distribution as a demand log concentrated on devotional titles is un-run in located literature.
Predictions
No prediction registered yet.
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