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The rim text nests
Status is derived only from the shepherd-authored triage/prediction data above -- community submissions and claims are a separate overlay and can never change it (see the participation panel below).
Claim (verbatim)
The rim text nests. The Primary Standard Sequence on Maya vases is a fixed dedicatory formula fitted onto rims of very different circumferences; if the band was planned like piecework lettering against available length, abbreviation should be hierarchical rather than ad hoc, dropping the same expendable slots first the way notarial formulae abbreviate. Shortening a sacred formula is a social risk, and workshops manage such risk by convention — and convention leaves a nested signature.
Prediction clause (verbatim)
Across at least 300 Kerr vases with a legible PSS, code presence or absence of the canonical formula slots (initial sign, dedication verb, surface term, vessel-type term, contents term, owner's name and titles). Primary clause (the verdict follows it): the presence-absence matrix forms a Guttman scale with coefficient of reproducibility at least 0.90 — shorter texts are overwhelmingly core-plus-prefix subsets of longer ones rather than arbitrary selections — versus a shuffled null well below that. Secondary clause: slot count correlates with rim circumference computed from recorded diameters at Spearman rho of at least 0.4.
Kill-dataset (verbatim)
Kill: the Kerr Maya Vase Database, whose rollouts and recorded vessel dimensions permit slot-by-slot PSS coding against circumference on the open corpus.
Nobody has run this test. The kill-data is named above. If you can run it — or you know the paper that already settles it — claim the kill or submit the prior scholarship. Kills and prior scholarship are credited here, by name, as they come in.
On Inferpedia
This conjecture has been linked to the following subject pages on Inferpedia — an encyclopedia of the missing, now in limited preview.
Provenance
Run: Fresh agent generation · model: claude-fable-5
Generated by a fresh Fable-tier instance (claude-fable-5) at maximum effort with generation-first blindness (no repo reads, no web searches, no DB queries); 278-title list supplied at launch, titles only, no verdicts/dossiers seen; prompt pre-committed in docs/generated/conjectures_1001_wave_ledger.md and docs/generated/conjecture_fresh_fable_w05_prompt_20260708.txt. Wave W05 of docs/GOAL_CONJECTURES_1001_CAMPAIGN_20260708.md. Novelty unverified by construction. A platform output-limit resume occurred before the single Write; no additional tool calls or information ingress occurred.
Novelty / leakage triage
anticipated in the literature — this exact test has never been run
PSS scholarship since Coe and Stuart establishes the fixed slot sequence and documents conventional abbreviation and truncation when rim space runs out, anticipating hierarchical shortening; the Guttman-scale test against circumference is un-run.
Predictions
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