AI-generated conjecture · below the evidence/publication boundary
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Constellations remember the globe
Status is derived only from the shepherd-authored triage/prediction data above -- community submissions and claims are a separate overlay and can never change it (see the participation panel below).
Claim (verbatim)
Constellations remember the globe. Al-Sufi's Book of Fixed Stars transmits each constellation in two mirror parities — as seen in the sky and as on the celestial globe — and copies differ in how the pairing survives. Painters copy their exemplar's pictures, so parity should be inherited like a textual reading; only a workshop with an actual metal globe at hand could re-derive figures and reset parity. Mirror parity is therefore a stemmatic character for the image cycle, and parity resets flag globe access.
Prediction clause (verbatim)
Primary clause (the verdict follows it): coding constellation-by-constellation mirror parity as a binary character vector across at least 12 digitized al-Sufi witnesses, parity-based clustering reproduces the accepted textual recension groups with at least 80 percent assignment agreement. Secondary clause: witnesses that break parity do so in contiguous quire-blocks rather than figure by figure, marking wholesale re-illustration events.
Kill-dataset (verbatim)
Kill: Bodleian MS Marsh 144 on Digital Bodleian, BnF Arabe 5036 and related witnesses on Gallica, and further digitized al-Sufi copies in the British Library catalogue.
Nobody has run this test. The kill-data is named above. If you can run it — or you know the paper that already settles it — claim the kill or submit the prior scholarship. Kills and prior scholarship are credited here, by name, as they come in.
On Inferpedia
This conjecture has been linked to the following subject pages on Inferpedia — an encyclopedia of the missing, now in limited preview.
Provenance
Run: Fresh agent generation · model: claude-fable-5
Generated by a fresh Fable-tier instance (claude-fable-5) at maximum effort with generation-first blindness (no repo reads, no web searches, no DB queries); 278-title list supplied at launch, titles only, no verdicts/dossiers seen; prompt pre-committed in docs/generated/conjectures_1001_wave_ledger.md and docs/generated/conjecture_fresh_fable_w05_prompt_20260708.txt. Wave W05 of docs/GOAL_CONJECTURES_1001_CAMPAIGN_20260708.md. Novelty unverified by construction. A platform output-limit resume occurred before the single Write; no additional tool calls or information ingress occurred.
Novelty / leakage triage
anticipated in the literature — this exact test has never been run
The dual sky/globe mirror-image scheme and its fate across roughly 50 studied al-Sufi copies is an established research object, including which iconographic model dominated transmission and the role of actual globes; parity coded as a stemmatic character clustered against textual recensions is un-run.
Predictions
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