AI-generated conjecture · below the evidence/publication boundary
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The armarium writes the argument
Status is derived only from the shepherd-authored triage/prediction data above -- community submissions and claims are a separate overlay and can never change it (see the participation panel below).
Claim (verbatim)
This conjecture claims the physical shelf order of a house's books acted as a retrieval prior on its authors' minds: works stored adjacently, in the same armarium division or press-mark run, were consulted in the same working sessions and therefore co-cited, so a library's catalogue topology should leak measurably into the citation structure of works composed there. The join is between shelf-lists and co-citation networks, with the twelfth-century abbey school of Saint-Victor, whose collection is reconstructable and whose in-house authors were prolific, as the cleanest testbed. Librarians created the effect unintentionally, since classification schemes put the retrievably similar within one reach of the arm. If this holds, part of what historians read as intellectual affinity between authorities is furniture, and the inference can be inverted so that co-citation in localized works predicts lost shelf arrangements. The evidence base is documentary, the surviving shelf-ordered catalogues.
Prediction clause (verbatim)
Primary clause (verdict follows it): for works composed at houses with reconstructable shelf-ordered catalogues, authority pairs adjacent in the catalogue show significantly elevated co-citation lift in locally composed works relative to non-adjacent pairs matched on individual citation frequency. Statistical test on co-citation lift.
Kill-dataset (verbatim)
Claude de Grandrue's Saint-Victor catalogue (projected back onto the medieval collection) and shelf-listed catalogues in the Corpus of British Medieval Library Catalogues, against the citation structures of in-house corpora such as Hugh and Richard of Saint-Victor.
Nobody has run this test. The kill-data is named above. If you can run it — or you know the paper that already settles it — claim the kill or submit the prior scholarship. Kills and prior scholarship are credited here, by name, as they come in.
On Inferpedia
This conjecture has been linked to the following subject pages on Inferpedia — an encyclopedia of the missing, now in limited preview.
Provenance
Run: Fresh agent generation · model: claude-fable-5
Generated blind by claude-fable-5 in a single Write with no file reads, web access, or database queries; all context was supplied inline in the launching prompt.
Novelty / leakage triage
no prior formulation located (search dated 2026-07-10)
A 2026-07-10 search found the Saint-Victor library reconstructions (Grandrue/Ouy; the HAL SQL reconstruction project) and standard bibliometric co-citation methods, but no prior work in either library history or citation studies proposing or anticipating that shelf/catalogue adjacency acts as a retrieval prior leaking into the co-citation structure of locally composed works — not the direction, not the mechanism, not this join of shelf-lists to citation networks. Search is not proof of novelty.
Predictions
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