AI-generated conjecture · a wager, not a finding
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The abridgment is a scale model
Status is derived only from the shepherd-authored triage/prediction data above -- community submissions and claims are a separate overlay and can never change it (see the participation panel below).
Claim (verbatim)
Yaqut's Mu'jam al-buldan (d. 626/1229) is an alphabetical gazetteer of roughly a million words, and alphabetical reference works are quarried locally - a user comes for a place, a regional historian mines a region's entries. But Safi al-Din al-Baghdadi's Marasid al-ittila' (d. 739/1338) is a true mukhtasar: it walks the entire alphabet compressing as it goes. Quarry-reuse is lumpy; abridgment-reuse is uniform. The epitome's alignment shadow should therefore cover the parent end to end - a scale model, not a sample. Prediction: alignment instances between 0626YaqutHamawi.MucjamBuldan and 0739SafiDinHanbali.Marasid in the KITAB one_to_all data will appear in at least 9 of the 10 equal milestone-deciles of the Mu'jam (primary clause: the >=9-of-10 decile coverage; the verdict follows it); if fewer than 50 such instances exist in total, the test is void as a coverage failure rather than a kill. Kill: the KITAB one_to_all msdata file for the Mu'jam's OpenITI primary version, with the Mu'jam's milestone count read from its own OpenITI text - bucket the Mu'jam-side milestone of each Marasid alignment into deciles and count non-empty deciles.
Prediction clause (verbatim)
Prediction: alignment instances between 0626YaqutHamawi.MucjamBuldan and 0739SafiDinHanbali.Marasid in the KITAB one_to_all data will appear in at least 9 of the 10 equal milestone-deciles of the Mu'jam (primary clause: the >=9-of-10 decile coverage; the verdict follows it); if fewer than 50 such instances exist in total, the test is void as a coverage failure rather than a kill.
Kill-dataset (verbatim)
Kill: the KITAB one_to_all msdata file for the Mu'jam's OpenITI primary version, with the Mu'jam's milestone count read from its own OpenITI text - bucket the Mu'jam-side milestone of each Marasid alignment into deciles and count non-empty deciles.
Nobody has run this test. The kill-data is named above. If you can run it — or you know the paper that already settles it — claim the kill or submit the prior scholarship. Kills and prior scholarship are credited here, by name, as they come in.
Provenance
Run: Fresh agent generation · model: claude-fable-5
Fresh blind generation, claude-fable-5, 2026-07-17: an Islamicate wave designed for immediate resolvability against the just-built OpenITI/KITAB apparatus (the frozen minds-works text layer and the validated one_to_all reuse data); every test operationally crisp per the operationalization-stability lesson (structural counts, reuse geometry, pinned multi-word markers, far-from-1 thresholds, explicit inconclusive-by-design guards); no fabricated citations - every named work's presence and primary-version status was checked against the local OpenITI 2025.1.9 metadata snapshot before inclusion, with no outcome data consulted.
Novelty / leakage triage
anticipated in the literature — this exact test has never been run
The Marasid's status as a mukhtasar of the Mu'jam al-buldan is on its own title page and throughout the reference literature; but the geometric signature that distinguishes whole-alphabet abridgment from local quarrying - decile coverage of the parent in text-reuse data - has never been measured for this or any comparable pair.
- Safi al-Din al-Baghdadi, Marasid al-ittila' 'ala asma' al-amkina wa-l-biqa', wa-huwa mukhtasar Mu'jam al-buldan, ed. 'A.M. al-Bijawi (Cairo, 1954-55)
- Encyclopaedia of Islam, 2nd ed., s.v. 'Yakut al-Rumi'
Predictions
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