Ars Inquirendi

AI-generated conjecture · below the evidence/publication boundary

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The demon answers invitations

Status: Anticipated · untested

Status is derived only from the shepherd-authored triage/prediction data above -- community submissions and claims are a separate overlay and can never change it (see the participation panel below).

This is a proposed connection between two domains, generated by a language model. It is not an article and not evidence: it sits below the evidence/publication boundary. A quantitative prediction and a named kill-dataset are attached (when registered) so the claim stays falsifiable rather than merely evocative.

Claim (verbatim)

Yi Kyubo wrote an exorcism against his own gift — the essay driving out the 'poetry demon' — and described composition as a compulsion that never revised: brush down, poem out. Compulsions are trigger-fed. The interiority claim: a poet who cannot refuse a prompt will let the social machinery of matched-rhyme verse supply his occasions, because the demon answers bells; his collection should therefore be saturated with externally-triggered poems — matching another man's rhymes, extemporizing on command — beyond what a deliberate, project-driven successor shows. Prediction: in the Tongguk Yisangguk chip, the share of poems whose titles carry external-trigger markers (次韻, 和, 口號, 走筆) exceeds the corresponding share in Yi Che-hyon's Ikchae nango, and exceeds 35% absolutely; primary clause: the comparison against the Ikchae nango, with the absolute threshold subordinate. Kill: the Institute for the Translation of Korean Classics database (db.itkc.or.kr) digitized texts of the Tongguk Yisangguk chip and the Ikchae nango; the computation is a title-marker tally over both poem inventories.

Prediction clause (verbatim)

Prediction: in the Tongguk Yisangguk chip, the share of poems whose titles carry external-trigger markers (次韻, 和, 口號, 走筆) exceeds the corresponding share in Yi Che-hyon's Ikchae nango, and exceeds 35% absolutely; primary clause: the comparison against the Ikchae nango, with the absolute threshold subordinate.

Kill-dataset (verbatim)

Kill: the Institute for the Translation of Korean Classics database (db.itkc.or.kr) digitized texts of the Tongguk Yisangguk chip and the Ikchae nango; the computation is a title-marker tally over both poem inventories.

Nobody has run this test. The kill-data is named above. If you can run it — or you know the paper that already settles it — claim the kill or submit the prior scholarship. Kills and prior scholarship are credited here, by name, as they come in.

Provenance

Run: Fresh agent generation · model: claude-fable-5

Fresh blind generation instance (prompt file and existing-titles list only; no repository, web, or prior-art access), 2026-07-16, campaign Minds & Works wave M01.

Novelty / leakage triage

anticipated in the literature — this exact test has never been run

Yi Kyubo's 'poetry demon' exorcism and his prolific unrevised occasional verse are known, but the specific claim that his collection is saturated with externally-triggered (matched-rhyme/extempore) titles beyond a deliberate successor was not located.

Predictions

No prediction registered yet.

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