AI-generated conjecture · below the evidence/publication boundary
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Philes leaves a slot for the name
Status is derived only from the shepherd-authored triage/prediction data above -- community submissions and claims are a separate overlay and can never change it (see the participation panel below).
Claim (verbatim)
Manuel Philes fed his family on commissioned verse, and a jobbing poet's efficiency lives in refitting, not invention: epigrams cut with a metrical slot where the patron's name or saint can be swapped like a tailor's collar. The interiority claim: his working method was a pattern-book of reusable pieces, and he accepted — perhaps intended — that the same poem would serve many buyers; transmission should therefore preserve doublets that differ chiefly at the name. Prediction: among book epigrams attributed to Philes with two or more occurrences in DBBE, the share of epigram types whose occurrences differ in a personal or place name while otherwise substantially matching is at least twice the pooled share among multi-occurrence types of all other name-attributed epigram authors; primary clause: the twofold share comparison. Kill: the Database of Byzantine Book Epigrams' open data dump of types, occurrences, and person attributions; the exact computation groups multi-occurrence types by attributed author and flags name-slot divergence by aligning occurrence transcriptions.
Prediction clause (verbatim)
Prediction: among book epigrams attributed to Philes with two or more occurrences in DBBE, the share of epigram types whose occurrences differ in a personal or place name while otherwise substantially matching is at least twice the pooled share among multi-occurrence types of all other name-attributed epigram authors; primary clause: the twofold share comparison.
Kill-dataset (verbatim)
Kill: the Database of Byzantine Book Epigrams' open data dump of types, occurrences, and person attributions; the exact computation groups multi-occurrence types by attributed author and flags name-slot divergence by aligning occurrence transcriptions.
Nobody has run this test. The kill-data is named above. If you can run it — or you know the paper that already settles it — claim the kill or submit the prior scholarship. Kills and prior scholarship are credited here, by name, as they come in.
Provenance
Run: Fresh agent generation · model: claude-fable-5
Fresh blind generation instance (prompt file and existing-titles list only; no repository, web, or prior-art access), 2026-07-16, campaign Minds & Works wave M01.
Novelty / leakage triage
anticipated in the literature — this exact test has never been run
The made-to-measure vs reusable nature of Byzantine commissioned book-epigrams (Philes especially) is discussed in DBBE scholarship, but the specific test that his multi-occurrence types differ chiefly at a name-slot at twice other authors' rate was not located.
- K. Demoen et al., Database of Byzantine Book Epigrams project studies (Ghent)
Predictions
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