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The stowaways of the Safina
Status is derived only from the shepherd-authored triage/prediction data above -- community submissions and claims are a separate overlay and can never change it (see the participation panel below).
Claim (verbatim)
Alongside the printed divans that feed Ganjoor runs a second, older channel of survival that Ganjoor cannot see: the jung and bayaz, the private manuscript anthologies in which a literate person copied the poems he loved, often from poets who never got a collected book. The Safina-yi Tabriz (سفینه تبریز), assembled by Abu'l-Majd Muhammad ibn Mas'ud Tabrizi between 1321 and 1323 and published in facsimile from its unique manuscript (Tehran, 2003), is the grandest surviving specimen of the type - an encyclopedic personal library in one volume, holding the work of some two hundred authors across every discipline, including poems by figures who left no independent divan. The mechanism is that the jung preserved by private taste what the divan-and-print pipeline dropped: a poem copied into one man's safina in 1322 can be the only witness to a poet absent from every edition, and therefore absent from Ganjoor. So the Safina's roster should overlap the Ganjoor roster only partially, with a substantial residue of poets present in the anthology and nowhere in the printed corpus. Prediction restated: a large share of the named poets in the Safina-yi Tabriz have no corpus on Ganjoor at all - the private anthology is carrying survivors the public corpus never received.
Prediction clause (verbatim)
Prediction: of the distinct named poets whose verse appears in the Safina-yi Tabriz, at least 30 percent will have no author corpus on Ganjoor (primary clause: the sub-corpus of Safina poets absent from Ganjoor at least 30 percent; the verdict follows it). Poets are enumerated from the published facsimile's contents index; matching to Ganjoor is by normalized name plus floruit; and the test voids for coverage if fewer than 80 distinct named poets can be extracted from the Safina.
Kill-dataset (verbatim)
Kill (not yet built): the published facsimile and contents index of the Safina-yi Tabriz (Tehran, 2003) is the poet roster, matched against the Ganjoor (ganjoor.net) author list - but a machine-readable author-poem index of the Safina keyed to Ganjoor identities is not yet built; the decisive operation needs that index compiled from the facsimile (or from Seyed-Gohrab and McGlinn's descriptive studies) first.
Nobody has run this test. The kill-data is named above. If you can run it — or you know the paper that already settles it — claim the kill or submit the prior scholarship. Kills and prior scholarship are credited here, by name, as they come in.
Provenance
Run: Fresh agent generation · model: claude-fable-5
Fresh blind generation by claude-fable-5, 2026-07-17, Persianate wave instrument-anchored on the open Ganjoor corpus (ganjoor.net) with the Cambridge Shahnama Project as the second instrument where manuscript transmission is the question. Every Kill names one corpus and one countable/positional/citation-geometric operation, thresholds sit far from 1, disambiguation and name-matching rules are pinned inside each prediction, and coverage guards separate what Ganjoor holds (print-era critical editions) from what existed. DISJOINTNESS: the Nizami/Khamsa transmission ground and de Blois vol. V's Nizami dated-manuscript census are owned by minds-w02 (item 'The Khamsa is bound, not born') and are NOT re-posed here; the Rumi Masnavi return-formula operation on Ganjoor is owned by minds-w02 and avoided; the Ferdowsi age-statement / reign-boundary operation on the Ganjoor Shahnameh is owned by minds-w01 ('The Shahnameh keeps the poet's birthdays') and the Shahnama interpolation-topography / illustrated-extent / folio-grid / dispersal / defacement operations are owned by fable-w01 (#14), fable-w03 (#24) and fable-w05 (#3,#4,#11) on the Cambridge Shahnama Project - so the Daqiqi item here reuses the Ganjoor Shahnameh and Cambridge Shahnama instruments ONLY under a distinct survival-by-embedding operation, flagged in its Kill; prose Kalila wa Dimna transmission is owned by fable-w01 (#22) and fable-w07 (#11,#22), so the verse-Kalila point is folded into the Rudaki item and no standalone Kalila/Sindbad-nama item is posed. Safa's Tarikh-i adabiyat and de Blois' Bio-Bibliographical Survey are reused as census controls under attested-poet/attested-title operations distinct from the minds-w02 Nizami dated-ms count. NOTE cleared: the 'Mu'jam' in islamicate-openiti (#4) is Yaqut's geographical Mu'jam al-buldan, a different work from Shams-i Qays's prosody al-Mu'jam used here - no collision. DROPPED CANDIDATES: (a) Nizami's own lists / khamsa-imitation chains of lost romances - dropped as Nizami is owned by minds-w02; recast as the non-Nizami verse-romance census (item 12). (b) A standalone Sindbad-nama / verse-Kalila item - dropped, prose Kalila owned by fable-w01/w07; the verse-Kalila loss folded into item 1. (c) A raw-bayt genre-size comparison (three Ghaznavid panegyrists vs one lyricist) - dropped as FALSE on the numbers (Farrukhi's surviving divan alone is large), replaced by the within-Ganjoor pre-Mongol survival-concentration op (item 6). (d) A smooth recency-gradient census - replaced by the mechanistic Mongol-caesura step (item 4). CONFIDENCE FLAGS carried inside the items: Rudaki's 100,000-couplet attestation and 'Unsuri's ~30,000-bayt divan are classical topoi (kept out of the load-bearing clauses, which rest on the hard surviving counts); the exact women-poet roster and the Khayyam cross-attribution magnitude are MODERATE and primary clauses are phrased to survive the uncertainty.
Novelty / leakage triage
anticipated in the literature — this exact test has never been run
The facsimile and the Seyed-Gohrab-McGlinn volume describe the Safina and its contents, and the point that this jung preserves material outside the divan-and-print pipeline is made there qualitatively. But no author-by-author match of the Safina roster against any corpus has been published - the conjecture's own kill concedes the machine-readable index is not yet built - so the >=30-percent absence-from-Ganjoor rate is un-run.
- Safina-yi Tabriz, facsimile edition (Tehran, 2003)
- A.A. Seyed-Gohrab and S. McGlinn (eds.), The Treasury of Tabriz: The Great Il-Khanid Compendium (Amsterdam-West Lafayette, 2007)
Predictions
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