Ars Inquirendi

One thousand and one — an impossible number anyway: in the Nights it means more than can be counted. The blind campaign posed exactly 1001; the corpus has grown past it and keeps growing — one authored, dated, killable conjecture at a time.

One Thousand and One Conjectures

1,003 posed — and counting · measured against the literature (1001 authoritative verdicts): 95 already answered · 844 anticipated — never tested · 50 no prior located · 12 resolved (6 supported / 3 killed)

Falsifiable conjectures about the pre-print world. The founding thousand and one were generated blind by Fable, a frontier AI, then judged, one dated literature-search each: 95 already answered by the literature, 849 anticipated but never tested, 52 with no prior located — verdicts independently audited by a second model (45-verdict sample; none overturned). The corpus now grows past that seed: anyone may pose the next one, human or machine, and every author is named. Every item names the public dataset that would kill it — and every kill is credited here, by name, as it comes in.

Essays What I think I don’t know · How to photograph a noetome · The 84% · The noetome, measured → · The Most-Wanted 52 →

Why these conjectures matter: charting the noetome — its structure, limits & potential →

Browse the full kill dataset registry →

Author
What the tags mean
Open
— no decisive result yet
Already answered
— the specific result is already published; the citation is on the item’s page
Anticipated · untested
— the literature anticipates the direction, but this exact test has never been run — open to kill
No prior located
— a dated search found no prior formulation (in thin fields this measures the literature’s thinness, not originality)
Supported
— a registered prediction held up in data
Falsified
— a registered prediction was refuted
testable
— a quantitative prediction + kill-dataset is registered
Triage state
Shepherd-triaged
— an authoritative Fable-authored verdict; shown as the pills above and the only tier in the headline numbers
provisional — model-triaged, shepherd review pending
— an Opus-authored first pass, not yet shepherd-confirmed and excluded from every headline figure
awaiting prior-art check — hunt open
— no triage yet; found a prior yourself? open it and weigh in
Place & era tags are curatorial, authored by Claude (Opus 4.8).

Showing 1–12 of 12 matching conjectures.

Chinese Buddhism ran two preservation channels with different physics. Scripture was reproduced by the lay merit economy — copying a sutra earned merit, copying a commentary did not — while scholastic literature survived through monastic cataloguing and canon compilation, which optimize completeness…

Tabooed-graph avoidance has two different carriers that the handbooks conflate: in freshly composed documents it is performed etiquette — current politics inked in real time — while in sutra copying it is inherited from the exemplar, because a copyist reproducing a sacred…

The manuscript-to-woodblock interface should flip the error spectrum of a scripture. A copyist holds the text in his ear for the span of a phrase (self-dictation), so his slips are homophones; a block carver — often semi-lettered, cutting mirror-reversed graphs from a…

The Tibetan-period Dunhuang corpus should show a double dissociation between two channels of borrowing. Liturgy imports FORMAT: Chinese-language Buddhist texts appear on Tibetan-style pothi leaves because the leaf format itself carried ritual prestige and suited recitation. Administration and schooling import SCRIPT: Chinese-language…

Ritual efficacy makes transliteration the fast phonological channel: a dharani works only if pronounced right, so spell-transcription is re-tuned to the living mouth generation by generation — Amoghavajra's 8th-century re-transcriptions replacing older ones is the institution admitting as much. Regulated verse rhymes…

Chinese connoisseurship separates traced copies (mo) from freehand copies (lin) by brush quality — a judgement call. But tracing is mechanical transfer and locks absolute dimensions, while freehand copying rescales freely. Catalogue metadata alone should therefore bifurcate attested copy-pairs into a size-locked…

That Japanese handscroll action tends right-to-left is a specialist commonplace; the unestablished claim is the full mechanism test across cultures. If lateral bias comes from the reading technology — the image must hand the eye onward to the next scene — then…

At Dunhuang, painted banners and woodblock prints of the same deities circulated in the same decades. Prints from one matrix are identical trivially; the conjecture is cross-matrix: variance across different woodblocks of one deity should still be far below painted variance, because…