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Sermons are the sponge
Status is derived only from the shepherd-authored triage/prediction data above -- community submissions and claims are a separate overlay and can never change it (see the participation panel below).
Claim (verbatim)
Sermons are the sponge. Connects the growth history of the Mahabharata to the economics of recitation patronage: a battle narrative has continuity constraints — insert a fresh duel and someone already dead is fighting — while didactic discourse is modular, and a patron endowing a recitation bought merit by the sermon, not by the plot. Inflation should therefore be genre-local: the didactic books absorbed interpolation like a sponge while the war books stayed comparatively lean, and the critical edition's rejected material is the fossil record of that asymmetry.
Prediction clause (verbatim)
In the Poona critical edition, compute rejected material (starred passages plus Appendix passages, in lines) per 1,000 constituted lines for each parvan. Primary clause: the combined Shanti and Anushasana parvans show at least three times the rejection density of the four battle books (Bhishma through Shalya) combined. Secondary: across all eighteen parvans, rejection density rises with the share of didactic content. The verdict follows the primary clause.
Kill-dataset (verbatim)
Kill: the apparatus, starred passages, and appendices of the Bhandarkar Oriental Research Institute critical edition of the Mahabharata (Poona 1933-1966).
Nobody has run this test. The kill-data is named above. If you can run it — or you know the paper that already settles it — claim the kill or submit the prior scholarship. Kills and prior scholarship are credited here, by name, as they come in.
On Inferpedia
This conjecture has been linked to the following subject pages on Inferpedia — an encyclopedia of the missing, now in limited preview.
Provenance
Run: Fresh agent generation · model: claude-fable-5
Generated by a fresh Fable-tier instance (claude-fable-5) at maximum effort with generation-first blindness (no repo reads, no web searches, no DB queries; single packet Write was the only tool use); title list supplied at launch, titles only, no verdicts or dossiers seen (sidecar docs/generated/conjecture_fresh_fable_w01_titlelist_20260708.md); prompt pre-committed in docs/generated/conjectures_1001_wave_ledger.md and docs/generated/conjecture_fresh_fable_w01_prompt_20260708.txt. Wave W01 of docs/GOAL_CONJECTURES_1001_CAMPAIGN_20260708.md. Novelty unverified by construction.
Novelty / leakage triage
anticipated in the literature — this exact test has never been run
That Shanti and Anushasana are the epic's most inflated books is a century-old commonplace of Mahabharata criticism (Vaidya 1905; Brockington), but the claim has never been operationalized as rejected-material density per parvan from the Poona apparatus with a battle-book baseline. The threefold-density computation is un-run.
- C. V. Vaidya, The Mahabharata: A Criticism (1905), on Shanti/Anushasana accretion
- John Brockington, The Sanskrit Epics (1998)
Predictions
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